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How to Make Your First Prediction

📖 3 min readUpdated November 7, 2025Prediction Markets
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Quick Start Guide

New to prediction markets? This guide will walk you through placing your first prediction on VibeStarter in just a few simple steps.

🎯 Prerequisites

Before making your first prediction, make sure you have:

  • A VibeStarter account
  • Connected Solana wallet (Phantom, Solflare, etc.)
  • Some SOL in your wallet for predictions
  • Basic understanding of how prediction markets work

🚀 Step-by-Step Process

Step 1: Browse Available Markets

Navigate to the Markets page to see all active prediction markets. You'll find markets for:

  • Download milestones - Will startup X reach Y downloads by Z date?
  • User growth - Will this app hit 10K users by next month?
  • Hall of Fame - Will this startup make it to the hall of fame?
  • Comparisons - Which startup will grow faster?

Step 2: Choose Your Market

Click on a market that interests you. Look for:

  • Clear prediction question - Make sure you understand what you're predicting
  • End date - When the market resolves
  • Current odds - What the market thinks will happen
  • Trading volume - How active the market is

Step 3: Analyze the Startup

Before placing your prediction, research the startup:

  • • Check their current metrics (users, downloads, revenue)
  • • Review their website and product demo
  • • Look at their growth trajectory
  • • Consider market conditions and competition
  • • Read community discussions and verification reports

Step 4: Place Your Prediction

  1. 1Choose your position: "Yes" (it will happen) or "No" (it won't happen)
  2. 2Enter the amount of SOL you want to invest
  3. 3Review the estimated shares you'll receive and potential payout
  4. 4Click "Place Prediction" button
  5. 5Confirm the transaction in your Solana wallet

Step 5: Track Your Prediction

After placing your prediction, you can track it in your Dashboard. You'll see:

  • • Your current position and shares owned
  • • Current market value of your shares
  • • Potential profit/loss
  • • Market updates and progress toward the prediction target

⚠️ Important Tips

  • Start small: Begin with small amounts until you understand how prediction markets work
  • Do research: Never invest in markets you don't understand
  • Diversify: Don't put all your funds in one prediction
  • Check end dates: Make sure you understand when markets resolve
  • Monitor verification: Follow startup metrics verification for accurate data

🎉 What Happens Next?

After placing your first prediction:

  1. 1. Wait for resolution: Markets resolve when the prediction target date is reached
  2. 2. Verification process: Our verification system confirms the actual outcome
  3. 3. Automatic payout: If you predicted correctly, you receive your winnings
  4. 4. Learn and improve: Use insights from your first prediction to make better future predictions
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Congratulations!

You've now made your first prediction on VibeStarter! Check out our AMM pricing guide to better understand how market prices work.